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Trump Strengthens Evangelical Support Ahead of Iowa Caucuses

As Iowa braces for the caucuses, Donald Trump's surprising dominance among evangelicals takes center stage. With a staggering 51% support, Trump strategically navigates the evangelical landscape, positioning himself as a messianic figure. DeSantis and Haley's attempts to court the conservative Christian vote face challenges, highlighting Trump's unique appeal within this crucial voting bloc.

Trump supporters pray before hearing Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speak at a campaign stop at Simpson College in Indianola, Iowa on Jan 14, 2023. | Jamie Kelter Davis for POLITICO

In a surprising turn of events at the Soteria church in West Des Moines, Arizona firebrand Kari Lake, a prominent Donald Trump surrogate, made a notable appearance during Sunday morning service. This move, seemingly an obvious political statement in a region abundant with churches, underscores the enduring influence Trump maintains over the evangelical voting bloc, critical for his substantial lead in Iowa ahead of the impending caucuses on Monday.

Evangelicals Solidify Support for Trump

Contrary to 2016 when evangelicals posed a challenge for Trump in the primary, recent developments reveal a significant shift. The most recent Des Moines Register Iowa Poll indicates that Trump commands support from a staggering 51 percent of evangelical Christians planning to attend GOP caucuses, leaving his closest competitor, Ron DeSantis, trailing at 22 percent.

Judy Billings, a devoted member of Soteria’s 1,300-member congregation, expressed unwavering support for Trump, stating, “I just love the guy. I think he’s a total hero, and he has my full support.” This sentiment echoes a broader trend where evangelicals, once cautious of Trump, now view him as a champion of their values.

Trump’s Unique Appeal to Evangelicals

In the lead-up to the caucuses, Trump’s approach has been distinct from the traditional playbook of evangelical-identifying candidates. While former Vice President Mike Pence and Sen. Tim Scott, who emphasized their faith, withdrew early from the race, Trump’s overt religious messaging was notably absent.

Even as Trump’s personal history stands in contrast to traditional evangelical values, including multiple marriages and legal disputes, his strategic appeal has grown messianic among certain segments of the conservative evangelical church. Trump recently shared a “God made Trump” video, positioning himself as a “caretaker” appointed by God.

Evangelical Vote: A Decisive Factor

Ralph Reed, a seasoned evangelical kingmaker, emphasized the pivotal role of evangelicals in the GOP nomination process, stating, “There is no path to this nomination without winning a plurality, and preferably a healthy plurality of these voters, starting in Iowa, and then running through the remaining primaries.”

DeSantis and Haley’s Efforts Fall Short

Despite attempts by DeSantis and Nikki Haley to court conservative Christian voters through scripture and policy discussions, their approaches failed to resonate as authentically as Trump’s connection with the evangelical base. Even though there were supporters for DeSantis and Haley at Soteria, attendees Nathan Peterson and Rick Kisling indicated a likely shift to Trump in the general election if he secures the Republican nomination.

As the Iowa caucuses approach, Trump’s strengthened bond with evangelicals solidifies his position as the frontrunner, showcasing the continued resonance of his message within this crucial voting bloc.

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