HomeElection News

DeSantis Faces Uphill Battle in Iowa Caucuses Amidst Poll Challenges

Ron DeSantis' campaign faces skepticism and challenges ahead of the Iowa caucuses, with supporters conceding a close second as a more realistic goal. As polls indicate a significant deficit to Trump, DeSantis contends with financial questions and the uphill battle of winning Iowa outright. The campaign emphasizes its ground game and endorsements, but the outcome remains uncertain in this critical moment for DeSantis' presidential aspirations.

Republican presidential candidate Ron DeSantis speaks at an early morning campaign event during blizzard-like conditions on Jan. 12, 2024 in Ankeny, Iowa. | Photos by Jamie Kelter Davis for POLITICO

As the Iowa caucuses loom, Ron DeSantis’ campaign is working fervently to dispel predictions of a significant defeat on Monday night. Despite assertions that the polls are inaccurate and media prematurely counting him out, DeSantis supporters acknowledge the formidable challenge of winning Iowa outright, with a close second deemed a more realistic goal.

Challenges and Concessions: The Uphill Battle

Hal Lambert, a member of DeSantis’ national finance committee, expressed optimism but conceded that “a close second would be a successful outcome.” Lambert’s acknowledgment underscores the uphill battle facing DeSantis, as he trails Trump by 32 points in the Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll, with Nikki Haley leading him by four points.

A DeSantis fundraiser, speaking anonymously, noted early missteps in the campaign and expressed skepticism about a late-stage recovery. The poor showing in Iowa is perceived as potentially fatal for DeSantis’ presidential aspirations, given the state’s significance in the primary process.

Campaign Strategies and Ground Game

Never Back Down, the political action committee supporting DeSantis, touts a robust ground game with over 1,600 precinct captains in Iowa. Endorsements from Governor Kim Reynolds and evangelical leader Bob Vander Plaats add local credibility. The campaign claims an edge in voter intensity, according to the Des Moines Register poll.

While DeSantis invested significantly in Iowa, questions about the campaign’s financial health linger. The campaign spokesperson, Andrew Romeo, focused on Trump and Haley’s “chest-thumping” and declared DeSantis’s commitment to outworking and out-organizing the competition.

Financial Health and Longevity in the Race

As speculation grows about the financial sustainability of DeSantis’ campaign, campaign spokesperson Andrew Romeo responded by redirecting attention to Trump and Haley. DeSantis has not specified what percentage of the vote constitutes success, leaving questions about the future trajectory of his campaign.

DeSantis’ frustration surfaced in criticism of conservative media outlets, indicating the pressure on the campaign. While campaign allies affirm DeSantis’ resilience, the financial factor remains critical for the campaign’s longevity.

Crowd Draw and Voter Sentiments

DeSantis continues to draw crowds in Iowa, showcasing ease on stage and engaging voters on policy matters. Despite the efforts to appeal to Trump voters, some attendees express loyalty to Trump, signaling challenges for DeSantis in securing their immediate support.

As the Iowa caucuses approach, DeSantis faces a pivotal moment that could shape the trajectory of his presidential bid. Whether he can defy the odds and secure a strong finish remains uncertain, leaving supporters and political observers on the edge as the race unfolds.

Subscribe to our newsletter

COMMENTS