Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, left, with Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, right, at an election night watch party at the Palm Beach Convention Center, Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024, in West Palm Beach, Fla. Evan Vucci / AP
A Historic Comeback for Trump
The eagerly awaited U.S. elections have concluded. Former President Donald J. Trump has been re-elected after a four-year break, coming back so strongly that he gained a majority in both the Senate and the House, achieving a level of power that many past presidents haven’t. At this point, one can’t help but wonder: if Trump was so loved, why did he lose the 2020 election? The statements of the presidential candidates, which influence the psychology and motivations of American voters, certainly played a role, but that’s not the focus of this article.
Shifting Focus from Election Speculation to Regional Strategies
In my recent writings, I naturally focused on the candidates and the election, exploring possibilities and probabilities. I also wrote about Vice President James David Vance, who I believe was as instrumental in Trump’s success as Elon Musk, managing critical relationships behind the scenes. Now that the U.S. has chosen its new president, I think it’s time to shift our attention to our region and the strategies the new president might pursue here.
In my roughly 13 years in the banking and finance sector, I have had the chance to learn about and closely follow the dynamics of various sectors, from energy to construction, mining to automotive, and public to commercial sectors, as well as observe how they respond to crises. Those who can trace the flow of money have no difficulty seeing the bigger picture. The foundations of global powers are their strong economies and strong militaries, without question! Concepts like democracy, human rights, and equality are often just the dressing on the plate, unfortunately!
Energy Dominance – A Crucial Factor in Global Power
As I’ve written repeatedly before, in this era, dominance over “energy resources” is more crucial than ever. The U.S. took over global hegemony from Britain after World War II and established its own balances. For almost 50 years, the world witnessed the friction between two poles, in other words, the rivalry between the U.S. and the Soviet Union. It sounds almost unreal, yet it’s true. Through its own algorithms, the U.S. somehow managed to convince the world of this arrangement. However, we are now in a different era where old balances are shifting, and the world is entering a new process. There is now a reality like China on the global power stage. In my view, China is the only real element that could potentially threaten U.S. global dominance in the medium term!
China’s Production Power and Its Vulnerability
With a significant workforce and the “know-how” it has gained over time, China is a complete production machine. While its production capacity is China’s greatest weapon, it’s also its biggest vulnerability! How? ENERGY! China’s ability to sustain its global ambitions hinges entirely on affordable access to energy resources. The U.S. understands this well, which is why it crosses the Atlantic to the Middle East and never leaves! The goal was to control oil and natural gas resources. That’s precisely what happened: it nearly erased the presence of Europe, our closest ally, in the Middle East, and took control of energy resources one by one. For this reason, as I mentioned in a previous article, not just Trump, but even the strongest former U.S. presidents couldn’t pull American soldiers out of the Middle East if elected – it simply wouldn’t be allowed!
When we add Hamas/Hezbollah, Israel, and Iran to this equation, I believe the Middle East will become even more volatile. Our region is changing rapidly, and new balances are being established right before our eyes.
To be continued…
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