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Mark Rutte Emerges as Front-Runner for NATO Chief Amid U.S. Opposition

France, a crucial decision-maker, is favoring Mark Rutte | Sean Gallup/Getty Images

In the race for the next NATO chief, outgoing Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte is gaining momentum, although facing resistance from U.S. lawmakers due to allegations of underspending on defense. This contentious scenario adds a layer of complexity to the selection process.

Rutte’s Strong Candidacy

Amid a three-person race, Rutte has garnered support from senior U.S. and German officials, positioning him as a formidable candidate. France, a crucial decision-maker, also favors Rutte, primarily due to his amicable relationship with President Emmanuel Macron.

Opposition from U.S. Lawmakers

Despite Rutte’s credentials, he faces opposition from U.S. lawmakers who criticize the Netherlands for consistently falling short of NATO’s defense spending target. Republican Senator Dan Sullivan, a key figure in the Senate Armed Services Committee, argues that Rutte should be disqualified based on his country’s record of not meeting NATO’s spending goals.

Other Contenders: Estonia and Latvia

Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, signaling interest in the NATO job, is presenting herself as a strong contender. Estonia’s commitment to raising defense spending and outspoken support for Ukraine enhances Kallas’s appeal. Meanwhile, Latvia’s Foreign Minister Krišjānis Kariņš, a surprise candidate, adds an unexpected element to the competition.

The Burden of Burden Sharing

For some U.S. lawmakers, a candidate’s home country’s record on burden sharing within NATO is crucial. The Netherlands’ historical underspending on defense becomes a focal point of scrutiny, creating a political challenge for Rutte.

Time for a Woman at the Helm?

Beyond the spending concerns, there is a growing sentiment, particularly among Democrats, that it is time for a woman to lead NATO. Senate NATO Observer Group Co-Chair Jeanne Shaheen emphasizes the need for a successor from a country meeting the 2 percent defense spending commitment.

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