Russian military convoy near Hmeimim air base, Latakia, Syria, December 14, 2024. REUTERS/Umit Bektas
Russia Adjusts Military Presence in Syria but Retains Strategic Bases
Pullback from Front Lines and Redeployment
Russia is scaling back its military presence on the front lines in northern Syria and withdrawing some personnel and equipment from the Alawite Mountains, sources within the Syrian military and security apparatus told Reuters. However, Moscow has no plans to abandon its two key bases in Syria—Hmeimim Airbase in Latakia and the Tartous naval facility.
Satellite imagery captured on Friday revealed Antonov AN-124 cargo planes at Hmeimim, apparently loading equipment for transport. At least one of these planes departed on Saturday for Libya, according to a Syrian security source stationed near the base.
Strategic Importance of Russian Bases
The Hmeimim airbase and Tartous naval facility are pivotal to Russia’s military strategy. Tartous serves as Russia’s only Mediterranean repair and resupply hub, while Hmeimim functions as a critical staging point for military operations in Africa and the Middle East. Established during the Cold War, these installations underscore Moscow’s long-standing support for Syria and its global military ambitions.
The Tartous base, granted to Russia under a 49-year lease in 2017, and its eavesdropping posts operated alongside Syrian intelligence, are integral to Moscow’s geopolitical footprint.
Regrouping Amid Shifting Dynamics
The withdrawal of some equipment and high-ranking Syrian officers appears to be part of a regrouping effort. A senior Syrian army officer in contact with Russian forces confirmed that Russia is adjusting its deployment based on evolving ground conditions.
Russian convoys, including infantry and logistics vehicles, have been seen along the highway connecting Hmeimim to Tartous. Despite reports of troop and equipment adjustments, Russian soldiers remain active at Hmeimim, with jets stationed in hangars and military activity continuing as usual.
Discussions with Syria’s New Government
The future of Russia’s bases and its agreements with the Assad government remain uncertain. A senior rebel official affiliated with the interim administration led by Ahmad al-Sharaa (formerly Abu Mohammed al-Golani) stated that the issue of Russian bases has not yet been formally discussed.
The Kremlin confirmed ongoing talks with Syria’s new leadership but declined to provide details. A Russian source emphasized that Moscow intends to maintain its presence in Syria, aligning with its broader geopolitical interests.
Local Perspectives and Regional Impact
Syrians in Latakia, historically a stronghold of Assad’s Alawite base, have expressed mixed reactions to foreign interventions. “We don’t want any intervention from Russia, Iran, or any other foreign power,” said Ali Halloum, a resident of Jablah.
Observers suggest that equipment and personnel being transported out of Syria are likely headed to other Russian bases, such as Al Khadim in Libya, underscoring Moscow’s efforts to reposition assets strategically.
Satellite imagery from Dec. 9 revealed Russian naval vessels, including guided missile frigates and an oiler, stationed approximately 13 kilometers northwest of Tartous, further highlighting Russia’s commitment to preserving its influence in the Mediterranean.
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