Former Congressman Considers Democratic Bid in Republican-Leaning State
Former U.S. Representative David Jolly, who left the Republican Party in 2018 due to his opposition to Donald Trump, is seriously considering a run for Florida governor in 2026. Despite the state’s strong Republican tilt under Trump and Governor Ron DeSantis, Jolly believes there is a coalition of Floridians seeking change.
A Competitive Field Emerging
Jolly’s potential Democratic candidacy would add to an increasingly competitive race. On the Republican side, Rep. Byron Donalds has already entered the race with Trump’s endorsement. Additionally, Casey DeSantis, Florida’s first lady, is expected to announce her campaign soon.
For Democrats, Rep. Jared Moskowitz has also been mentioned as a possible contender. As a former Director of Emergency Management under DeSantis, he has positioned himself as a pragmatic leader.
Can Jolly Overcome Florida’s Red Shift?
Florida has increasingly favored Republicans, giving Trump three consecutive victories in the state with widening margins. Jolly, who frequently appears on MSNBC criticizing Trump and DeSantis, faces the challenge of winning over disaffected Republicans, nonaffiliated voters, and Democrats.
Jolly has emphasized that the race is not about Trump, instead focusing on affordability, property insurance reform, education, and ethics. However, Democratic strategists warn that he will need to convince the party’s base that he aligns with their values, a hurdle that previous party-switchers like Charlie Crist struggled with.
What’s Next?
Under Florida law, Jolly must register as a Democrat at least a year before the June 2026 qualifying date. He has been actively meeting with Democratic groups and could announce his decision in the next six to eight weeks.
With Florida’s Democratic Party still reeling from significant losses in 2024, Jolly’s centrist appeal may present an opportunity to rebuild. However, his path to the Democratic nomination—and victory in a deep-red state—remains uncertain.
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