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California’s Top-Two Primary System Creates Election Dynamics, Sparks Strategic Moves

Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff (left) would be delighted to face Republican Steve Garvey in the November general election — a much easier opponent than Democratic Rep. Katie Porter (right) in resolutely blue California. | Jenna Schoenefeld for POLITICO

Subheading 1: “California’s Unique Primary System Challenges Traditional Super Tuesday Norms”

California’s primary elections stand out on Super Tuesday, deviating from the usual process of selecting the top Democrat and Republican for the November elections. In the state’s top-two primary system, the first and second-place finishers advance regardless of party affiliation, a system in place for over a decade. This approach, initially opposed by both parties, introduces strategic considerations and potential surprises in the electoral landscape.

Subheading 2: “Lockout Fears and Strategic Moves in Critical Races”

Several critical races in California are witnessing candidates strategically navigating the top-two primary system to secure a coveted spot in the November general election. Lockout fears loom in competitive seats where a multitude of challengers threatens to divide the vote. For candidates in safe seats, securing an opponent from the opposite party becomes a victory that essentially concludes the contest in March.

Subheading 3: “Democrats’ Efforts to Avoid Lockout in Central Valley District”

In the Central Valley district held by GOP Rep. David Valadao, Democrats are investing heavily to avoid a scenario where neither Democratic candidate advances to the general election. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) is spending millions to prevent a split vote between former Assemblymember Rudy Salas and state Sen. Melissa Hurtado, which could allow Valadao and his Republican challenger, Chris Mathys, to secure the top two spots.

Subheading 4: “Strategic Spending in California Senate Race and U.S. Senate Contest”

Record-level spending is observed in the California Senate race, where strategic moves are being made to influence the top-two outcome. Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff is actively supporting Republican Steve Garvey, seen as a more favorable opponent than Democratic Rep. Katie Porter in the reliably blue state. Similarly, in the U.S. Senate contest, Schiff and allies are spending millions to boost Garvey’s chances of securing a spot in the top two.

Subheading 5: “Republicans’ Tactical Moves in Kevin McCarthy’s Replacement Race”

In the race to replace ex-Speaker Kevin McCarthy, Republicans are strategically backing a Democrat to ensure a top-two outcome that benefits GOP state lawmaker Vince Fong. This tactical move in a solidly red district positions Fong favorably for the general election.

Conclusion: “California’s Top-Two Primary System Adds Intrigue to Super Tuesday”

As California’s top-two primary system creates a unique electoral landscape, candidates and political groups are adopting strategic moves to secure favorable outcomes. Lockout fears, tactical spending, and efforts to influence the top-two composition highlight the significance of this unconventional approach, adding intrigue to Super Tuesday in the state.

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