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Wall Street ends with heavy losses on fears Trump tariffs will trigger recession

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Wall Street Declines Sharply Amid U.S. Tariff Concerns

Market Overview On Thursday, major Wall Street indices recorded their steepest one-day percentage declines in years as U.S. President Donald Trump’s newly announced tariffs fueled concerns of an impending global trade war and potential economic recession. The announcement led investors to shift away from riskier assets, favoring government bonds instead.

Impact of Tariffs on Market Sentiment Trump imposed a 10% tariff on most U.S. imports, alongside significantly higher levies on goods from multiple countries. The abrupt policy shift marked a stark contrast to the optimism surrounding the administration’s earlier business-friendly policies, which had propelled U.S. stocks to record highs. Investors responded by adjusting their positions to account for potential disruptions in global trade and economic instability.

Global Reactions and Market Volatility Several affected nations, including China and the European Union, have vowed retaliatory measures, with the latter facing a 20% duty. Other countries such as South Korea, Mexico, and India have temporarily withheld countermeasures as they seek negotiations before the tariffs take effect on April 9. Market volatility is expected to persist in the coming days as these geopolitical and economic developments unfold. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), commonly referred to as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” reached a three-week high.

Market Performance According to preliminary data:

  • The S&P 500 (.SPX) declined by 275.05 points (4.85%), closing at 5,395.92.
  • The Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) dropped 1,053.60 points (5.99%), settling at 16,547.45.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) fell by 1,682.61 points (3.98%) to 40,542.71.

Sectoral and Company-Specific Declines Technology stocks, which had been significant drivers of past market gains, experienced substantial losses:

  • Apple (AAPL.O) saw declines following a cumulative 54% tariff on Chinese-manufactured products.
  • Nvidia (NVDA.O) and Amazon.com (AMZN.O) also recorded substantial drops.
  • Retailers such as Nike (NKE.N) and Ralph Lauren (RL.N) faced losses due to tariffs on production hubs like Vietnam, Indonesia, and China.
  • Banking stocks, including Citigroup (C.N), Bank of America (BAC.N), and JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM.N), declined due to heightened economic concerns.
  • The U.S. small-cap Russell 2000 Index (.RUT) also fell significantly, reflecting broader concerns about the domestic economy.

Federal Reserve Policy Expectations The increased economic uncertainty has led investors to anticipate multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Market analysts are now pricing in at least four rate cuts in 2025, with a quarter-point reduction expected as early as June. Some experts suggest a possible rate cut in May, highlighting the importance of upcoming economic indicators such as Friday’s payroll data and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s scheduled address.

Energy and Consumer Staples Sectors

  • Energy stocks, including Exxon Mobil (XOM.N) and Chevron (CVX.N), declined in response to falling crude oil prices, which dropped 6.8% following the tariff announcement and OPEC+’s accelerated production increases.
  • The consumer staples sector (.SPLRCS), traditionally considered a defensive investment, was one of the few bright spots. Lamb Weston (LW.N) experienced gains after reporting favorable earnings.

Outlook With uncertainty surrounding the full impact of the tariffs and the potential for retaliatory measures, market participants anticipate continued volatility. Investors are closely monitoring developments in trade negotiations, Federal Reserve policy, and economic indicators to gauge the longer-term implications of the administration’s trade policies on financial markets and the broader economy.

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