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U.S. Senate Debate: GOP Tax Cut Strategy Faces Democratic Opposition

The U.S. Senate is facing a crucial decision regarding the Republican tax policy strategy, which could impact federal budget calculations and legislative priorities. The debate centers on whether the 2017 tax cuts should be considered ongoing policy with no additional cost or counted as new expenses. The outcome will determine the GOP’s ability to push forward tax cuts, military spending, and other legislative goals through the budget reconciliation process.

Lead Art: The door to the office of the Senate Parliamentarian is seen at the U.S. Capitol on Aug. 4, 2022. | Francis Chung/POLITICO

Senate Democrats Challenge GOP Tax Strategy

Democratic aides in the U.S. Senate are actively working to counter Republican efforts to extend the 2017 Trump-era tax cuts without acknowledging their cost. Their latest strategy involves meetings with the Senate parliamentarian to argue against the GOP’s preferred accounting method, which Democrats say obscures the true fiscal impact of extending these tax cuts.


The Role of the Senate Parliamentarian

The Senate parliamentarian, Elizabeth MacDonough, holds a key role in deciding whether Republicans can use the “current policy baseline” approach to claim a zero-dollar cost for extending the 2017 tax cuts. This decision will determine whether the GOP can advance a budget resolution that is essential for bypassing the Senate filibuster and passing their legislative package through reconciliation.


Republicans’ Push for Tax Cuts and Policy Changes

Senate Republicans aim to finalize a budget resolution this week to move forward with President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda. Their package includes not only tax cuts but also military spending increases, border security funding, and energy policy changes. However, before proceeding, they need the parliamentarian’s approval of their cost assessment method.


The Dispute Over Budget Calculations

The core issue revolves around how the cost of extending the 2017 tax cuts should be calculated. Republicans argue that these cuts should be treated as ongoing policy, meaning their extension would not add to the federal deficit. In contrast, the standard “current law” approach would recognize that these tax cuts are set to expire at the end of the year, making their extension a new expense projected to exceed $4 trillion.


Democrats Mobilize Against GOP’s Approach

Over the weekend, Senate Democrats held a private conference call to strategize against the Republican accounting method. They argue that ignoring the true cost of tax cut extensions would mislead the public and worsen the federal deficit. They are preparing to challenge the GOP’s plan in a joint meeting with the parliamentarian, though a date for that meeting has yet to be set.


What’s Next?

The Senate parliamentarian’s ruling on this issue will significantly impact the Republican budget resolution. If approved, the GOP can proceed with its reconciliation strategy, allowing them to pass tax cuts and spending measures with a simple majority vote. If rejected, Republicans will need to find alternative ways to advance their legislative goals, possibly requiring bipartisan support.

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