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Trump triggers trade war, price hikes with tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico

FILE PHOTO: A Canadian coast guard vessel navigates the Detroit River which connects Windsor, Ontario, Canada, and Detroit, Michigan, U.S., as trade tensions escalate over U.S. tariffs and retaliatory measures by Canada, in Windsor, Ontario, Canada February 4, 2025. REUTERS/Carlos Osorio/File Photo/File Photo

U.S. Imposes New Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China, Sparking Global Trade Tensions


On Tuesday, U.S. President Donald Trump implemented a series of new tariffs, including a 25% levy on imports from Mexico and Canada and a doubling of duties on Chinese goods to 20%. These measures, which took effect at 12:01 a.m. (0501 GMT), have ignited fears of escalating trade wars that could hinder economic growth and increase prices for American consumers already grappling with years of high inflation. The tariffs are expected to disrupt nearly $2.2 trillion in annual U.S. trade with its top three trading partners.

Justification and Immediate Reactions
President Trump justified the tariffs by asserting that Mexico, Canada, and China had failed to adequately address the flow of the deadly opioid fentanyl and its precursor chemicals into the United States. However, the move was met with swift condemnation and retaliatory measures from affected nations.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau criticized the tariffs as “a very dumb thing to do” and announced 25% tariffs on C30billion(30billion(20.7 billion) worth of U.S. imports, targeting products such as orange juice, peanut butter, wine, spirits, beer, coffee, appliances, and motorcycles. Trudeau also warned that Canada would impose additional tariffs on C$125 billion of U.S. goods, including motor vehicles, steel, aircraft, beef, and pork, if the U.S. tariffs remain in place after 21 days.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum vowed retaliation, promising to announce Mexico’s response on Sunday in Mexico City’s iconic Zocalo square. She emphasized that Mexico had taken “decisive actions” against organized crime and fentanyl trafficking, calling Trump’s measures unjustified.

China responded immediately by announcing additional tariffs of 10%-15% on certain U.S. imports, effective March 10, and imposing export restrictions on designated U.S. entities. Beijing also filed complaints with the World Trade Organization (WTO) regarding the new U.S. measures.

Economic and Market Impact
The tariffs triggered a global stock selloff, with major U.S. indexes declining and the Nasdaq entering correction territory. European shares recorded their largest one-day loss in six months. Sectors sensitive to tariffs, such as automakers, homebuilders, and retailers, experienced significant losses.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to its lowest level since October, reflecting a flight to safety. While the dollar weakened against the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, it strengthened against the Mexican peso and the Canadian dollar.

Retaliatory Measures and Escalation
Canada and Mexico both signaled their intent to challenge the U.S. tariffs through the WTO and the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). Ontario Premier Doug Ford banned U.S. firms from bidding on provincial government contracts and threatened to impose a 25% surcharge on electricity exports to the U.S. if the tariffs persist.

President Trump, in turn, threatened to further increase tariffs on Canadian goods, referencing a U.S. plan to impose “reciprocal tariffs” on global trading partners by April 2.

Price Increases and Consumer Impact
The tariffs are already leading to price hikes in the U.S., contradicting Trump’s campaign promise to reduce living costs for Americans. Target CEO Brian Cornell announced that the retail giant would raise prices on seasonal grocery items, such as avocados from Mexico, within days. Best Buy also warned of potential price increases, particularly on electronics sourced from China and Mexico.

Nationwide Mutual chief economist Kathy Bostjancic estimated that the tariffs could result in an annual increase of nearly $1,000 per household in the cost of goods.

Broader Economic Concerns
The tariffs on Mexican and Canadian products could have severe repercussions for the highly integrated North American economy, which relies on cross-border trade for manufacturing, energy, and agriculture. Canadian Chamber of Commerce CEO Candace Laing warned that the tariffs could push both Canada and the U.S. toward recessions, job losses, and economic instability.

Even before the tariffs were announced, U.S. data indicated a surge in factory gate prices to a nearly three-year high, suggesting that the new measures could further disrupt production. The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model projected a 2.8% contraction in U.S. GDP for the first quarter, a sharp reversal from the 2.3% growth estimated the previous week.

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