Recent CNN polls reveal a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in the battleground states of Arizona and Nevada. Both states show virtually deadlocked results, with each candidate holding a narrow lead in one of the states. However, Democrats have an edge in the Senate races in both states.
Trump and Harris in Deadlock in Key Southwest Battleground States
Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a close battle for voters in the critical swing states of Arizona and Nevada, according to new CNN polls released on October 29, 2024. The polls show Harris leading Trump by just 1 point in Arizona, while Trump holds a 1-point lead over Harris in Nevada. Both states are considered key battlegrounds for the upcoming election, making the results even more significant as Election Day approaches.
Early Voting Trends Favor Both Candidates
The poll results indicate a split in early voting trends between the two states. In Arizona, Harris holds a significant advantage among those who have already voted, with 53 percent of early voters supporting her compared to Trump’s 44 percent. In contrast, Trump leads among early voters in Nevada, where he has captured 52 percent of the vote, compared to Harris’s 46 percent.
Competitive Senate Races Show Democratic Leads
The Senate races in both Arizona and Nevada are also highly competitive. In Arizona, Democratic Representative Ruben Gallego is leading Republican nominee Kari Lake by a margin of 51 percent to 43 percent. Meanwhile, in Nevada, incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen is ahead of her GOP challenger, Sam Brown, by a margin of 50 percent to 41 percent. These leads suggest a favorable outlook for Democrats in the Senate, even as the presidential race remains tight.
Polling Data and Methodology
The CNN polls were conducted by SSRS from October 21 to October 26, 2024, and surveyed 781 likely voters in Arizona and 683 likely voters in Nevada. The margin of error for the Arizona poll is plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, while the margin of error for the Nevada poll is plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Both states are considered toss-ups, and these polling results highlight how crucial they will be in determining the outcome of the 2024 election.
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