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Tesla Stock Surges After Trump’s Win, Signaling Potential Policy Gains

Tesla’s stock surged following Donald Trump’s presidential victory, with investors anticipating potential regulatory benefits for the electric vehicle company, despite significant policy differences between Trump and Elon Musk.

The bonhomie between President-elect Donald J. Trump and Elon Musk has obscured major policy differences between the two men that may now come to the fore.Credit…Doug Mills/The New York Times

Tesla’s Stock Jumps After Trump Victory

Tesla’s stock rose by 10% on Wednesday after Donald Trump’s presidential win, with investors optimistic about potential policy changes favoring the electric carmaker. Elon Musk, a vocal Trump supporter during the campaign, now has a direct line to the White House, which could influence government policy in ways that benefit Tesla.

Musk’s Support for Trump and Potential Gains for Tesla

Elon Musk, who actively supported Trump’s campaign, now holds considerable political capital. Trump has floated the idea of appointing Musk to a “government efficiency” commission, which could help streamline regulatory processes for Musk’s ventures. Investors are particularly hopeful about regulatory easing for Tesla’s self-driving software, a key component of its long-term strategy.

Regulatory Changes on Self-Driving Standards

One of the significant potential shifts could be a move toward a national standard for self-driving cars, an idea supported by Tesla and other tech-forward companies like Waymo. Such a standard would replace the current state-by-state regulations, simplifying the path for autonomous vehicles across the country.

Challenges for Electric Vehicle Subsidies and Clean Air Credits

Despite the optimism, there are policy disagreements. Trump has pledged to end subsidies for electric vehicles and remove tax credits for automakers building EVs domestically. Such changes would impact other manufacturers more than Tesla, though Tesla could still feel some effects. Additionally, the potential elimination of clean air credit sales—a source of considerable revenue for Tesla—may create a financial setback.

Trade Tensions with China and Tariff Concerns

Tesla could also face challenges if a Trump administration escalates trade tensions with China. China remains one of Tesla’s biggest markets and is home to a major production facility in Shanghai. Increased tariffs on Chinese goods could negatively impact Tesla’s global operations, especially its exports from China.

Tesla’s Resilience Without Tax Credits

Despite potential cuts to subsidies, Tesla has a proven track record of resilience. According to Ben Rose, president of Battle Road Research, Tesla has navigated periods without tax credits in the past and strategically manufactures its U.S. vehicles in California and Texas, minimizing tariff exposure.

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