
COLORADO — Rep. Lauren Boebert is on a clearer path to victory in the upcoming November elections after securing a win in the Republican primary for Colorado’s 4th District, formerly held by Republican Rep. Ken Buck. Boebert’s victory in this district positions her well for the general election, given its strong Republican leaning.
Boebert’s New District and Primary Victory
Boebert triumphed in the crowded primary with 43.6% of the vote, outpacing her closest competitor, Jerry Sonnenberg, who garnered 14.3%. Other candidates collectively received 42.2% of the vote, with 97.3% of the expected vote counted.
Decision to Switch Districts
Boebert, previously representing the 3rd District, faced a likely rematch against Democrat Adam Frisch, who narrowly lost to her by just over 500 votes in 2022. However, following Buck’s announcement of his decision not to seek reelection, Boebert opted to run in the 4th District along Colorado’s eastern border. She cited the need for a “fresh start following a pretty difficult year for me and my family” as the reason for her move.
Impact of Ken Buck’s Departure
Buck’s early departure from Congress in March triggered a special election to complete his term, which was also on the ballot. Boebert strategically chose not to run in the special election to avoid vacating her 3rd District seat. Instead, Greg Lopez, a former mayor and the Republicans’ special election nominee, won the special election against Democrat Trisha Calvarese, easing Boebert’s transition.
Fundraising and Endorsements
Boebert enjoyed a significant fundraising edge over her primary rivals and received high-profile endorsements, including from Speaker Mike Johnson and the state Republican Party. Additionally, she had the backing of former President Donald Trump, whose endorsements have been influential in many competitive primaries, though not without occasional setbacks.
November Outlook
The 4th District is considered a safe Republican seat, having favored Trump by nearly 20 points in the 2020 election. This contrasts with Boebert’s previous 3rd District, where Trump had less than a 10-point margin. Boebert’s primary win in this favorable district significantly boosts her chances for a November victory.
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