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Iron-fisted Assad never quelled the Syrian rebels who came back to topple him

Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad meets with Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, in Damascus, Syria, December 1, 2024. SANA/Handout via REUTERS/File Photo 

Bashar al-Assad: The Fall of a Controversial Leader

A Presidency Shaped by War

Bashar al-Assad, who ascended to Syria’s presidency in 2000 following the death of his father, Hafez al-Assad, saw his rule defined by nearly a decade and a half of civil war. Utilizing the military support of Russia and Iran, Assad regained much of the territory lost to rebel forces, but his inability to fully quell the insurgency left him vulnerable. On Sunday, his presidency effectively ended as rebels seized Damascus, declaring the city free from his rule.

The Assad Legacy and Early Rule

Assad inherited a tightly controlled state dominated by the Alawite minority, maintaining his father’s alliance with Iran and opposition to Western powers. His early tenure hinted at reform, with political prisoner releases and economic liberalization, but these measures were short-lived. By the time of the 2011 Arab Spring, growing discontent in impoverished areas—exacerbated by drought and corruption—erupted into mass protests demanding democracy, which the regime suppressed with lethal force.

Civil War and Sectarianism

The conflict escalated into a multifaceted civil war, with Assad leveraging Russian airpower and Iranian-backed militias to regain territory. His campaign included tactics such as siege warfare and chemical attacks, condemned internationally but critical to his military strategy. The war also deepened sectarian divides, with Shi’ite fighters from across the region supporting Assad, while Sunni-led states like Turkey and Qatar backed the rebels.

Chemical Weapons Controversy

Assad’s regime faced accusations of using chemical weapons, including the 2013 sarin gas attack in Ghouta, which killed hundreds. While Syria’s chemical arsenal was ostensibly dismantled under a Russian-brokered agreement, subsequent attacks prompted international outrage. Assad consistently denied responsibility, often dismissing evidence as part of a foreign conspiracy.

A Fragmented State and Economic Decline

Despite military victories, large parts of Syria remained outside Assad’s control. The country’s infrastructure was devastated, with over 350,000 dead and millions displaced. International sanctions crippled the economy, further alienating Assad from Western nations. While some Arab states began to re-engage with his government, Syria remained a pariah on the global stage.

Personality and Perception

Assad cultivated a public image of humility, often portrayed as a family man visiting war veterans and driving modest cars. His rise to power, however, was unexpected; originally trained as an ophthalmologist in London, Assad was thrust into the political arena after the death of his elder brother, Bassel, in 1994. His early reforms earned him the moniker of a potential modernizer, but entrenched corruption and authoritarianism quickly eroded those hopes.

Collapse of the Regime

Assad’s reliance on foreign allies proved a double-edged sword. While Russia and Iran enabled his survival, their preoccupation with other conflicts weakened their ability to support him against the recent rebel offensive. Statues of Assad’s father and brother were toppled, and images of the president were burned or destroyed as rebels took control of key cities.

Historical Significance and Future Uncertainty

Assad’s departure marks the end of a half-century of family rule in Syria, a moment of seismic change for the Middle East. His regime, once emblematic of Arab nationalism, leaves behind a fragmented state and a legacy of brutality. As Syrians celebrate his fall, the nation faces an uncertain future, with competing factions vying for power and the international community deliberating its response.

The lessons of Assad’s rise and fall highlight the perils of authoritarianism, the fragility of foreign-backed power, and the enduring complexities of Middle Eastern politics.

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