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Democrats Worry as Trump Gains Lead in Key Battleground States

Democrats are facing a challenging election night as key battleground states show significant support for Trump, leading to growing concerns about a potential repeat of the 2016 election results.

People watch election results come in at Vice President Kamala Harris’s election night event at Howard University in Washington, on Nov. 5, 2024. | Jamie Kelter Davis for POLITICO

Early Election Results Unfavorable for Democrats

As results came in, early signs pointed to a challenging night for Democrats. Former President Donald Trump secured North Carolina and Georgia, two essential battleground states. Trump has shown strong performance across the country, surpassing his 2020 margins. Kamala Harris, meanwhile, has not managed to replicate the broad support Joe Biden achieved in 2020, particularly in light-blue regions and more Republican-leaning areas.

Shifts in Key Demographics

Exit polls highlighted Trump’s inroads with traditionally Democratic-leaning demographics. Gains among Black male voters in North Carolina and Georgia were notable, as was his performance among Hispanic and young voters, where Harris trailed Biden’s 2020 numbers. Trump also made progress in traditionally blue areas, notably increasing his margin in New York City.

Democratic Campaign Response and Reactions

With the possibility of defeat growing, some Democrats expressed acceptance, while others maintained cautious optimism. Former Representative Cedric Richmond, a co-chair of Harris’ campaign, addressed supporters, emphasizing that all votes would be counted and urging patience. However, signs of despair emerged as some Democrats likened the situation to the 2016 election. California Representative Jared Huffman voiced concern over what he described as a “nail-biter” through key states.

Focus on Blue Wall States

Kamala Harris’ campaign expressed hope in the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, recognizing these as crucial for reaching 270 electoral votes. However, even within her campaign, confidence varied. One top Pennsylvania official expressed doubts about securing all three Blue Wall states, though he hoped to be proven wrong.

Divided Democratic Sentiment

While some Democrats grew increasingly pessimistic, Michigan State Senator Mallory McMorrow urged her party to remain calm, pointing to the large number of votes yet to be counted. Despite calls for composure, the mood at Harris’ election night event remained tense, reflecting concerns about the election’s outcome.

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