Joe Biden and Donald Trump are tied in Wisconsin, a crucial battleground state for the 2024 election, according to a new Marquette University Law School poll. Both candidates currently hold 50 percent support among registered voters, underscoring the state’s significance in the upcoming presidential race.
Wisconsin has a history of narrow election margins, and this poll reflects the intense competition. Biden won the state by a slim margin in 2020, a victory following Trump’s 2016 flip of the traditionally Democratic state.
Tight Race in Wisconsin
The latest poll, conducted from June 12-20, surveyed 871 registered voters in Wisconsin. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Even with 12 percent of voters undecided, Biden and Trump remain tied at 44 percent each.
Republicans are prioritizing Wisconsin as a top Electoral College target, hosting their national convention next month in Milwaukee. However, recent reports suggesting Trump might avoid staying in Milwaukee and his alleged negative remarks about the city could impact their strategy.
Broader Six-Candidate Race
In a six-candidate presidential ballot, Trump leads slightly with 43 percent, while Biden has 40 percent. Independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West receive 8 percent and 4 percent, respectively. Libertarian Chase Oliver and Green Party candidate Jill Stein each hold 2 percent.
Voter Perceptions and Issues
Both Biden and Trump suffer from high unfavorability ratings in Wisconsin. Fifty-eight percent of voters view Biden unfavorably, and 57 percent hold an unfavorable view of Trump. Biden’s job approval remains at 40 percent, unchanged since April, with 57 percent disapproving. Trump’s past presidency approval stands at 47 percent, with 52 percent disapproving.
There are stark partisan divides: 96 percent of Republicans disapprove of Biden, while an equal percentage of Democrats disapprove of Trump. Among Independents, Biden’s job approval is 21 percent, while Trump’s is 48 percent.
On specific issues, voters believe Trump would better handle immigration, the economy, the Israel-Hamas conflict, and foreign relations. However, Biden holds the edge on Medicare, Social Security, healthcare, and abortion policy.
Legal Troubles and Voter Awareness
Awareness of Trump’s legal issues is high, with 76 percent of voters informed about his New York trial. Fifty-five percent believe he is guilty. Conversely, Hunter Biden’s legal problems are known to 57 percent of voters following his recent charges.
Overall, 61 percent of voters think Trump “has behaved corruptly,” compared to 46 percent for Biden. Additionally, 76 percent believe Biden “is too old to be president,” versus 53 percent for Trump.
Conclusion
The Marquette University Law School poll highlights the intense competition and polarized views among Wisconsin voters. As the 2024 election approaches, both Biden and Trump will likely intensify their campaigns to sway undecided voters in this pivotal state.
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