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China told it faces ‘fork in the road’ as officials meet CEOs

Journalists watch a giant screen showing live-streaming footage of Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivering a speech at the opening ceremony of China Development Forum (CDF) 2024, in Beijing, China March 24, 2024. REUTERS/Jing Xu

China has been urged by the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva, to implement new economic policies in order to address its property market crisis and enhance domestic consumption and productivity. Georgieva made these remarks during a meeting with senior Chinese officials and executives from global companies, emphasizing the need for China to “reinvent itself” for a new era of high-quality growth.

While officials at the China Development Forum expressed confidence in China’s ability to achieve its economic targets, including a growth rate of approximately 5% for the current year, their commitments fell short of the more comprehensive changes advocated by the IMF. Georgieva highlighted an IMF analysis indicating that a more consumer-centered policy approach could potentially add $3.5 trillion to China’s economy over the next 15 years, significantly boosting output.

To achieve this, Georgieva emphasized the necessity of taking decisive actions, including addressing unfinished housing projects left by bankrupt developers and mitigating risks associated with local government debt. She stressed that high-quality growth would require a greater emphasis on domestic consumption, which, in turn, relies on increasing the spending power of individuals and families.

Georgieva’s remarks align with the calls from other economists for China to adopt a new growth model. Given the significance of these comments, especially at the outset of a two-day meeting aimed at promoting China as open for business, they carry weight in shaping economic discourse.

Foreign investment in China has faced challenges, with data indicating a nearly 20% decrease in flows during the first two months of the year. Efforts to attract investors have intensified amidst global shifts to “de-risk” supply chains and operations away from China, exacerbated by tensions with the United States and its allies.

High-profile executives attending the Beijing event, such as Apple CEO Tim Cook, have expressed optimism about China’s openness for business. Cook highlighted Apple’s plans to introduce products to the mainland China market and increase research and development investment in the country.

Executives from other companies, such as ZF Group, have reaffirmed their commitment to China, emphasizing the country’s leading position in electric car sales and production. These sentiments were echoed by over 100 overseas executives and investors attending the China Development Forum.

The Chinese government has unveiled measures aimed at attracting investment, including expanded market access and pilot programs to promote investment in science and technology. Premier Li Qiang reiterated China’s commitment to stimulating investment and stabilizing growth through initiatives such as the issuance of ultra-long bonds. Additionally, officials emphasized President Xi’s vision to drive investment in “new productive forces,” encompassing industries such as networked electric vehicles, spaceflight, and advanced drug development.

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